Multiple-Choice Tests: Is Your First Guess Usually Right?

When taking a multiple-choice test, is your first guess usually right or is it better to think again?

When taking a multiple-choice test, is your first guess usually right or is it better to think again?

The standard advice for multiple-choice tests is: if in doubt, stick with your first answer.

College students believe it: about 75 percent agree that changing your first choice will lower your score overall (Kruger et al., 2005).

Instructors believe it as well: in one study 55 percent believed it would lower students’ scores while only 16 percent believed it would improve them.

Multiple-choice test research

And yet this is wrong.

One survey of 33 different studies conducted over 70 years found that, on average, people who change their answers do better than those who don’t (Benjamin et al., 1984).

In none of these studies did people get a lower score because they changed their minds.

Study after study shows that when you change your answer in a multiple-choice test, you are more likely to be changing it from wrong to right than right to wrong.

So actually sticking with your first answer is, on average, the wrong strategy.

Why people stick with their first answer

Why do so many people (including many who should know better, like the authors of test-preparation guides) still say that you should stick with your first answer?

Kruger et al. (2005) argue that it’s partly because it feels more painful to get an answer wrong because you changed it than wrong because you didn’t change it.

So we tend to remember much more clearly the times when we changed from right to wrong.

And so when taking a test we anticipate the regret we will feel and convince ourselves that our first instinct is probably right (when it’s probably not).


Author: Jeremy Dean

Psychologist, Jeremy Dean, PhD is the founder and author of PsyBlog. He holds a doctorate in psychology from University College London and two other advanced degrees in psychology. He has been writing about scientific research on PsyBlog since 2004. He is also the author of the book "Making Habits, Breaking Habits" (Da Capo, 2013) and several ebooks.

Get free email updates

Join the free PsyBlog mailing list. No spam, ever.